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Lebanon towards a civil war


January 02, 2014

By observing the latest events happening in Lebanon recently, we feel that an atmosphere of civil war dominates the country following the serious sectarian and political conflicts and the big break between political parties, and even assassinations and bombings that are happening on a daily basis.

After the bombings of the southern suburb of Beirut, and those which  have targeted two mosques in Tripoli and after the car bomb that targeted a Hezbollah military base near Baalbek,  the clashes between the Lebanese army and the extremists in Saida and the assassination of the military chief of Hezbollah Hassan Lakkis, Lebanon witnessed on Friday morning 27/12/2013 the assassination of former Minister, advisor of  the Prime Minister of "Future Movement" Saad al-Hariri, Dr. Mohammed Shatah by a car bomb face "Bank Audi" in Starco in downtown Beirut.

The security forces have revealed several car bombs and published information on other cars aiming leaders, politicians and popular gatherings of all confessions and in all regions.

Considering the large rupture between Lebanese parties which belong to two different regional and international axes, each party targeted by an act of violence immediately accuses the other party to participate or to offer a favorable climate for those who commit these acts and who often remains unknown.

These conflicts do not take political dimensions only but also sectarian and religious dimension which shows that the break between the Lebanese is increasingly serious.

This coincides with the lack of agreement on holding a meeting of the House of Representatives, and the lack of agreement on a meeting of the resigned government headed by Najib Mikati, and the lack of consensus on the formation of a new government after   it has been assigned to the MP Tammam Salam, a few months ago.

This is associated with of the end of the mandate of the current President of the Republic Michel Sleiman, as it is supposed to elect a new president in his place during the period from March 25 to May 24.

This goes as well along with a complete paralysis in the work of state institutions and an absence of the active role of the security forces, given the proliferation of weapons in all communities and in all regions in Lebanon.

Added to this is the impact of the Syrian crisis in all its complexity and its ramifications and its extensions in Lebanon, or rather the role of the Lebanese in the details of the Syrian crisis.

It is normal as well that regional and international conflict will have repercussions on this country to the point that some analysts have considered it a tool for delivering messages.

It is unfortunate that Lebanese are not able to resolve their crises themselves and no regional or international power has so far initiated mediation to search for an appropriate solution, everyone connects the fate of events in Lebanon to the negotiations on Syria to be held in Geneva 2.

Meanwhile, it is no exaggeration to say that Lebanon is now on a powder keg, and a spark is capable of burning into a sectarian civil war, especially that all conditions are met to involve the Lebanese in this Holocaust.



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